Huckabee Watch


Archive for January, 2008


How wrong we were

Bold predictions have paid off in the past here, but the last major one — that Huckabee would place 2nd in New Hampshire — seems pretty silly in retrospect. That said, Huckabee was still a big winner in New Hampshire. Mitt Romney is damaged goods, and Huckabee gets to take on McCain in a southern state where McCain has had trouble before.

Today brought news of Thompson becoming very aggressive against Huckabee. Having performed poorly in Iowa and New Hampshire, this is Thompson’s last chance. Huckabee has engaged Thompson, which could potentially sink them both if McCain can seize the “higher ground” amidst a Thompson/Huckabee spat.

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Apologies

I’ve had a very busy couple of weeks (moved to California, went to New Hampshire for Obama, and now in Europe through the end of the month) and wasn’t able to post.

Sorry.

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Challenging conventional wisdom

Max spits some truth

Our friend Max Brantley honed in on exactly what’s on our minds these days, and summarized why this blog exists:

Arkansas is a microcosm of the national electorate. Win Arkansas – with its blend of blue dog Democrats in the east and south, yellow dog Republicans in the Northwest, yellow dog Democrats in some locations and many swing independents – and you are likely to win it all. That’s been true for about four decades.

Huckabee has demonstrated appeal here. He’s the prototype of a candidate able to replicate a winning Southern strategy — government-friendly, gun-toting, gay bashing, abortion hating. Democrats best be careful what they wish for. And Republicans need not fear Huckabee. He’ll be very happy to keep the Wall Street greedheads happy.

The talking heads should just yield to Brantley whenever it comes to Huckabee discussions. The Arkansas Times’ coverage of our former governor is unmatchable. Every scandal that’s broken since Huckabee announced was originally brought to light by the Arkansas Times.

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Huckabee wins Iowa. Why are we not surprised?

Mike Huckabee defeated Mitt Romney in Iowa with a commanding lead this evening, as we predicted weeks ago. Even up until the final moments, pundits predicted a virtual toss-up between Huckabee and Romney.

What we all witnessed this evening is only the beginning of Huckabee defying expectations. I’m willing to wager he places in the top 2 slots in New Hampshire. Why?

Drudge and Huffington linked a story about the media’s increased coverage of the 2008 race. The exposure level of candidates is higher than it’s been in the last four elections combined. The same phenomenon that fueled John Kerry’s ascension in 2004 is larger and louder in ‘08.

The first domino just fell. Obama will be the nominee. And barring any major hiccups in his operation, Huckabee will be as well.

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HUCKABEE WINS IOWA

CNN just called it for him. Can’t say we’re surprised.

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