Huckabee Watch

Put a fork in him.

luther — Tue, 05 Feb 2008 00:39:49 +0000

It’s the day before Super Tuesday. Huckabee has a shot at VP, but our work here is done. We wrote him off a while back if you hadn’t noticed.

Meanwhile, I was busy with another project today: Yes We Can! … the ringtone.

using a smartphone (I assume this works with most, but I’m basing this off my experience with the Blackberry), pull up on your browser one of the following 4 urls:

http://huckabeewatch.com/ywc1.mp3

http://huckabeewatch.com/ywc2.mp3

http://huckabeewatch.com/ywc3.mp3

http://huckabeewatch.com/ywc4.mp3

All four are MP3s you should be able to save as ringtones to your phone (again, it works on a blackberry).

How wrong we were

luther — Sat, 12 Jan 2008 18:06:07 +0000

Bold predictions have paid off in the past here, but the last major one — that Huckabee would place 2nd in New Hampshire — seems pretty silly in retrospect. That said, Huckabee was still a big winner in New Hampshire. Mitt Romney is damaged goods, and Huckabee gets to take on McCain in a southern state where McCain has had trouble before.

Today brought news of Thompson becoming very aggressive against Huckabee. Having performed poorly in Iowa and New Hampshire, this is Thompson’s last chance. Huckabee has engaged Thompson, which could potentially sink them both if McCain can seize the “higher ground” amidst a Thompson/Huckabee spat.

Apologies

luther — Sat, 12 Jan 2008 17:49:59 +0000

I’ve had a very busy couple of weeks (moved to California, went to New Hampshire for Obama, and now in Europe through the end of the month) and wasn’t able to post.

Sorry.

Challenging conventional wisdom

luther — Fri, 04 Jan 2008 16:02:07 +0000

Our friend Max Brantley honed in on exactly what’s on our minds these days, and summarized why this blog exists:

Arkansas is a microcosm of the national electorate. Win Arkansas – with its blend of blue dog Democrats in the east and south, yellow dog Republicans in the Northwest, yellow dog Democrats in some locations and many swing independents – and you are likely to win it all. That’s been true for about four decades.

Huckabee has demonstrated appeal here. He’s the prototype of a candidate able to replicate a winning Southern strategy — government-friendly, gun-toting, gay bashing, abortion hating. Democrats best be careful what they wish for. And Republicans need not fear Huckabee. He’ll be very happy to keep the Wall Street greedheads happy.

The talking heads should just yield to Brantley whenever it comes to Huckabee discussions. The Arkansas Times’ coverage of our former governor is unmatchable. Every scandal that’s broken since Huckabee announced was originally brought to light by the Arkansas Times.

Huckabee wins Iowa. Why are we not surprised?

luther — Fri, 04 Jan 2008 07:28:12 +0000

Mike Huckabee defeated Mitt Romney in Iowa with a commanding lead this evening, as we predicted weeks ago. Even up until the final moments, pundits predicted a virtual toss-up between Huckabee and Romney.

What we all witnessed this evening is only the beginning of Huckabee defying expectations. I’m willing to wager he places in the top 2 slots in New Hampshire. Why?

Drudge and Huffington linked a story about the media’s increased coverage of the 2008 race. The exposure level of candidates is higher than it’s been in the last four elections combined. The same phenomenon that fueled John Kerry’s ascension in 2004 is larger and louder in ‘08.

The first domino just fell. Obama will be the nominee. And barring any major hiccups in his operation, Huckabee will be as well.

HUCKABEE WINS IOWA

luther — Fri, 04 Jan 2008 01:58:16 +0000

CNN just called it for him. Can’t say we’re surprised.

Our predictions last week

luther — Wed, 26 Dec 2007 16:43:04 +0000

All of them were right.

Huckabee’s Hubris and Rush Limbaugh

luther — Wed, 26 Dec 2007 16:16:34 +0000

Benjamin Franklin once reportedly quipped, “Never pick a quarrel with someone who buys their ink in barrels.”

Nowadays, that adage can be extended to other forms of media: cable news, blogs, and — especially for conservatives — radio.

Emboldened by his sustained momentum in the face of snipes from the Left and Right, Huckabee’s campaign is cavalierly dissing Limbaugh. It started with a quote attributed to an unnamed “ally” within the campaign:

“Honestly, because Rush doesn’t think for himself. That’s not necessarily a slap because he’s not paid to be a thinker—he’s an entertainer. I can’t remember the last time that he has veered from the talking points from the DC/Manhattan chattering class. If they were praising Huckabee, he would be too.” “Also, I have to think that he’s dying to have Hillary in the White House. Bill Clinton made Rush a megastar. Having another Clinton back in power would make him the Leading Voice of the Opposition once again.”

When seeing this, I immediately thought, “Romney.” I thought it was pretty clever, too. So far, they’ve done a spectacular job at shoring up establishment support, even without The National Review endorsement. Drudge certainly hasn’t held back in linking to negative stories on Huckabee, leading many to assume he’s in the tank with Romney.

(more after jump…)

(more…)

The Mike Vickabee Family

luther — Tue, 18 Dec 2007 17:38:15 +0000

Like Lennie Small, David Huckabee (pictured above in Janet’s lap) didn’t mean to hurt the stray dog, he just loved it too hard.

Predictions for December 17 - 23

luther — Tue, 18 Dec 2007 15:03:00 +0000

A few predictions for this week:

John McCain’s poll numbers will rise in New Hampshire and Iowa
Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney’s numbers will stay where they are in Iowa
Romney will remain stagnant or fall in Iowa
Ron Paul will rise in New Hampshire
Giuliani will fall in South Carolina and New Hampshire
Romney might cry again